EWN forecast - Bishop Sutton

Forecast

12:00	10°	0.4 mm	1031.4 hPa
18:00	9°	0.5 mm	1032.9 hPa
00:00	3°	0.5 mm	1037.2 hPa
Sunday 2022-01-30 06:00	1°	0.5 mm	1037.9 hPa
12:00	6°	0.5 mm	1038.4 hPa
18:00	2°	0.5 mm	1035.1 hPa
00:00	2°	0.5 mm	1029.3 hPa
Monday 2022-01-31 06:00	5°	0.8 mm	1027.7 hPa
12:00	7°	0.8 mm	1029.1 hPa
18:00	6°	0.8 mm	1029.2 hPa
00:00	7°	0.8 mm	1029.9 hPa
Tuesday 2022-02-01 06:00	6°	0.9 mm	1029.3 hPa

12:00	10°	0.9 mm	1029.1 hPa
18:00	8°	0.9 mm	1028.3 hPa
00:00	7°	0.9 mm	1029.6 hPa
Wednesday 2022-02-02 06:00	7°	0.9 mm	1028.8 hPa
12:00	10°	0.9 mm	1030.2 hPa
18:00	7°	0.9 mm	1028.8 hPa
00:00	6°	0.9 mm	1029.1 hPa
Thursday 2022-02-03 06:00	6°	0.9 mm	1027.6 hPa
12:00	9°	0.9 mm	1026.5 hPa
18:00	9°	0.9 mm	1024.3 hPa
00:00	8°	0.9 mm	1021.8 hPa
Friday 2022-02-04 06:00	9°	0.9 mm	1018.1 hPa

12:00	10°	0.9 mm	1016.6 hPa
18:00	7°	1.1 mm	1016.2 hPa
00:00	5°	0.6 mm	1019.9 hPa
Saturday 2022-02-05 06:00	4°	0.2 mm	1019.7 hPa
12:00	7°	0.6 mm	1020.9 hPa
18:00	5°	0.7 mm	1020.8 hPa
00:00	4°	0.4 mm	1022.9 hPa
Sunday 2022-02-06 06:00	4°	0.2 mm	1022.8 hPa
12:00	8°	0.3 mm	1024.1 hPa
18:00	6°	0.3 mm	1023.6 hPa
00:00	5°	0.3 mm	1023.5 hPa
Monday 2022-02-07 06:00	5°	0.3 mm	1022.2 hPa

Day 1 - 3

Day 4 - 6

Day 7 - 9

Close observations

Locationinfo

Latitude: 51.332°N
Longitude: -2.597°E
Altitude: 69 m

		Temperature	Pressure	Precip	Dewpoint	Wind	UV	Cloudcover	TS-prob.

	Temperature	Pressure	Precip	Dewpoint	Cloudcover
07:53 16:55 Daylength: 9:02 Saturday 29 Jan
09:00	9°	1031.4	0.2 mm	6.7°	1%
12:00	10°	1031.4	0.2 mm	7.8°	1%
15:00	10°	1031.0	0.2 mm	8.7°	1%
18:00	9°	1032.9	0.2 mm	8.1°	1%
21:00	5°	1035.6	0.2 mm	1.9°	1%
07:51 16:57 Daylength: 9:06 Sunday 30 Jan
00:00	3°	1037.2	0.2 mm	1.9°	1%
03:00	2°	1037.2	0.2 mm	1.0°	0%
06:00	1°	1037.9	0.2 mm	-0.4°	0%
09:00	2°	1039.2	0.2 mm	-0.3°	0%
12:00	6°	1038.4	0.2 mm	0.2°	0%
15:00	6°	1036.1	0.2 mm	0.3°	0%
18:00	2°	1035.1	0.2 mm	-0.1°	1%
21:00	1°	1032.3	0.2 mm	-0.3°	1%
07:50 16:59 Daylength: 9:09 Monday 31 Jan
00:00	2°	1029.3	0.2 mm	0.8°	1%
03:00	8°	1027.1	0.4 mm	6.5°	1%
06:00	5°	1027.7	0.4 mm	2.9°	1%
09:00	5°	1028.7	0.4 mm	2.6°	1%
12:00	7°	1029.1	0.4 mm	3.5°	1%
15:00	8°	1028.2	0.4 mm	3.2°	1%
18:00	6°	1029.2	0.4 mm	2.8°	1%
21:00	5°	1030.0	0.4 mm	3.9°	1%
07:48 17:01 Daylength: 9:13 Tuesday 01 Feb
00:00	7°	1029.9	0.4 mm	3.1°	1%
03:00	6°	1029.6	0.4 mm	3.0°	1%
06:00	6°	1029.3	0.4 mm	5.3°	0%
09:00	8°	1029.8	0.4 mm	6.4°	1%
12:00	10°	1029.1	0.4 mm	7.4°	1%
15:00	10°	1027.5	0.4 mm	7.6°	1%
18:00	8°	1028.3	0.4 mm	6.9°	1%
21:00	6°	1029.4	0.4 mm	5.7°	1%
07:47 17:02 Daylength: 9:15 Wednesday 02 Feb
00:00	7°	1029.6	0.4 mm	6.1°	1%
03:00	7°	1029.6	0.4 mm	6.3°	1%
06:00	7°	1028.8	0.4 mm	6.1°	1%
09:00	7°	1029.7	0.4 mm	6.7°	0%
12:00	10°	1030.2	0.4 mm	8.4°	0%
15:00	10°	1028.5	0.4 mm	8.1°	1%
18:00	7°	1028.8	0.4 mm	6.6°	1%
21:00	6°	1028.9	0.4 mm	5.6°	1%
07:45 17:04 Daylength: 9:19 Thursday 03 Feb
00:00	6°	1029.1	0.4 mm	5.3°	1%
03:00	6°	1027.8	0.4 mm	5.3°	1%
06:00	6°	1027.6	0.4 mm	5.3°	1%
09:00	7°	1027.4	0.4 mm	5.5°	1%
12:00	9°	1026.5	0.4 mm	6.8°	1%
15:00	10°	1024.9	0.4 mm	5.3°	1%
18:00	9°	1024.3	0.4 mm	5.1°	1%
21:00	8°	1023.0	0.4 mm	6.6°	1%
07:43 17:06 Daylength: 9:23 Friday 04 Feb
00:00	8°	1021.8	0.4 mm	6.4°	1%
03:00	8°	1019.8	0.4 mm	6.3°	1%
06:00	9°	1018.1	0.4 mm	5.0°	1%
09:00	8°	1017.5	0.4 mm	6.8°	1%
12:00	10°	1016.6	0.5 mm	7.3°	1%
15:00	10°	1015.6	0.6 mm	7.1°	1%
18:00	7°	1016.2	0.6 mm	6.4°	1%
07:42 17:08 Daylength: 9:26 Saturday 05 Feb
00:00	5° 2.0°	1019.9	0.6 mm	2.6°	1%
06:00	4° 1.6°	1019.7	0.2 mm	2.1°	1%
12:00	7° 4.9°	1020.9	0.6 mm	3.3°	1%
18:00	5° 3.0°	1020.8	0.7 mm	2.6°	1%
07:40 17:10 Daylength: 9:30 Sunday 06 Feb
00:00	4° 1.9°	1022.9	0.4 mm	2.0°	1%
06:00	4° 1.4°	1022.8	0.2 mm	2.0°	1%
12:00	8° 5.2°	1024.1	0.3 mm	4.0°	1%
18:00	6° 3.7°	1023.6	0.3 mm	3.8°	1%
07:38 17:11 Daylength: 9:33 Monday 07 Feb
00:00	5° 3.0°	1023.5	0.3 mm	3.6°	1%
06:00	5° 2.5°	1022.2	0.3 mm	3.6°	1%
12:00	8° 6.0°	1021.9	0.6 mm	5.1°	1%
18:00	7° 4.1°	1019.2	1.2 mm	4.8°	1%
07:37 17:13 Daylength: 9:36 Tuesday 08 Feb
00:00	6° 3.3°	1019.4	0.5 mm	4.4°	1%
06:00	5° 2.4°	1019.7	0.6 mm	3.5°	1%
12:00	8° 5.3°	1022.2	0.3 mm	3.5°	1%
18:00	6° 3.2°	1022.0	0.3 mm	2.6°	1%
07:35 17:15 Daylength: 9:40 Wednesday 09 Feb
00:00	5° 2.0°	1023.1	0.4 mm	2.4°	1%
06:00	4° 1.7°	1022.5	0.4 mm	2.1°	1%
12:00	8° 5.0°	1022.5	0.3 mm	3.5°	1%
18:00	6° 3.2°	1020.5	0.8 mm	3.4°	1%
07:33 17:17 Daylength: 9:44 Thursday 10 Feb
00:00	5° 2.1°	1021.4	0.4 mm	2.6°	1%
06:00	4° 1.6°	1021.4	0.3 mm	2.0°	1%
12:00	7° 5.7°	1022.2	0.3 mm	3.5°	1%
18:00	5° 4.1°	1020.4	0.6 mm	3.1°	1%

	TS-prob.	Severe Index	CAPE	LI	Hail	Supercell	Tornado	Swiss12	--	--

EWN puts the forecast-models in a real test by monitoring their accuracy also outside their "home-area" which usually is the country of the issuing meteorologic institute. The accuracy are monitored for ca 900 locations north of the Alps and are calculated by comparing the forecast with the observed temperature every 3 hours at 00, 03, 06, 09, 12, 15, 18 and 21 UTC. The used forecast for the next day are generated at ca 18 UTC. Theese results are then used for calculating the EWN forecast.

Models
- EWN: EWN's own forecast
- WRFDA: WRF runned by EWN
- DWD: ICON, DWD, Germany
- MF-Arpege: ARPEGE, Meteo France
- MF-Arome: AROME, Meteo France
- KNMI: Hirlam, KNMI, The Netherlands
- FMI: Hirlam, FMI, Finland
- YR: XML-files (AROME-MetCoOp, Hirlam, ECMWF), MET Norway (yr.no)
- GFS: GFS, NCEP, USA
- CMC: CMC Ensemble, CMC, Canada
- WXSIM: WXSIM-software runned by private weatherstations (data not available for all locations)

Model accuracy

The average total accuracy for each forecast-model.

	EWN	WRFDA	DWD	MF	KNMI	FMI	YR	GFS	CMC	WXSIM
Good forecasts (±2°)	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%
Mean error	°	°	°	°	°	°	°	°	°	°
RMS error	°	°	°	°	°	°	°	°	°	°

Good forecasts (±2°) Mean error RMS error

Compare models

	EWN	WRFDA	DWD	MF	KNMI	FMI	YR	GFS	CMC	WXSIM

	Temperature	HDD (17°)	10m Wind	20m Wind	50m Wind	100m Wind	Cloudcover	Solar SW	Solar LW
This table are based on the EWN WRFDA-model. Solar radiation: SW - shortwave, LW - longwave. HDD - Heatingdegree.

Bishop Sutton Weather Station;

Personal weather station in Bishop Sutton, North East Somerset, United Kingdom.

For more information on site, equipment and historical records go to http://www.bishopsuttonweather.org.uk/

Forecast for Bristol, Bishop Sutton (GB)

Model accuracy

Compare models

Warnings and severe weather

You find our weather info also at:

Equipment we use:

Weather-station Davis VP2	Weather-program Meteobridge

Bishop Sutton Weather Station; Personal weather station in Bishop Sutton, North East Somerset, United Kingdom. For more information on site, equipment and historical records go to http://www.bishopsuttonweather.org.uk/

Forecast for Bristol, Bishop Sutton (GB)

Model accuracy

Compare models

Warnings and severe weather

You find our weather info also at:

Equipment we use:

Bishop Sutton Weather Station;

Personal weather station in Bishop Sutton, North East Somerset, United Kingdom.

For more information on site, equipment and historical records go to http://www.bishopsuttonweather.org.uk/