EWN forecast - Bishop Sutton

Forecast

07:00	9°	1.6 mm	1029.5 hPa
13:00	18°	1.6 mm	1030.6 hPa
19:00	14°	1.6 mm	1030.7 hPa
Wednesday 2021-09-22 01:00	11°	1.6 mm	1032.1 hPa
07:00	9°	1.6 mm	1031.6 hPa
13:00	20°	1.6 mm	1031.0 hPa
19:00	12°	1.6 mm	1029.5 hPa
Thursday 2021-09-23 01:00	10°	1.6 mm	1029.2 hPa
07:00	9°	1.6 mm	1028.1 hPa
13:00	21°	1.6 mm	1027.0 hPa
19:00	15°	1.6 mm	1025.3 hPa
Friday 2021-09-24 01:00	14°	1.6 mm	1024.2 hPa

07:00	15°	1.6 mm	1022.6 hPa
13:00	20°	1.6 mm	1022.5 hPa
19:00	17°	1.8 mm	1021.4 hPa
Saturday 2021-09-25 01:00	13°	1.9 mm	1020.7 hPa
07:00	10°	1.9 mm	1020.1 hPa
13:00	16°	1.9 mm	1020.2 hPa
19:00	14°	1.9 mm	1020.8 hPa
Sunday 2021-09-26 01:00	12°	1.1 mm	1022.6 hPa
07:00	11°	2.4 mm	1023.8 hPa
13:00	16°	2.4 mm	1025.2 hPa
19:00	12°	2.4 mm	1025.3 hPa
Monday 2021-09-27 01:00	7°	2.4 mm	1027.9 hPa

07:00	6°	2.4 mm	1028.3 hPa
13:00	16°	2.4 mm	1028.6 hPa
19:00	12°	2.4 mm	1027.7 hPa
Tuesday 2021-09-28 01:00	9°	0.2 mm	1019.6 hPa
07:00	8°	0.4 mm	1019.2 hPa
13:00	15°	0.4 mm	1020.1 hPa
19:00	12°	0.2 mm	1019.5 hPa
Wednesday 2021-09-29 01:00	9°	0.1 mm	1020.1 hPa
07:00	8°		1019.5 hPa
13:00	15°	0.4 mm	1019.6 hPa
19:00	12°	0.8 mm	1018.2 hPa
Thursday 2021-09-30 01:00	10°	0.8 mm	1017.9 hPa

Day 1 - 3

Day 4 - 6

Day 7 - 9

Close observations

Locationinfo

Latitude: 51.332°N
Longitude: -2.597°E
Altitude: 69 m

		Temperature	Pressure	Precip	Dewpoint	Wind	UV	Cloudcover	TS-prob.

	Temperature	Pressure	Precip	Dewpoint	Cloudcover
06:57 19:10 Daylength: 12:13 Tuesday 21 Sep
04:00	9°	1028.4	0.8 mm	7.6°	1%
07:00	9°	1029.5	0.8 mm	7.8°	1%
10:00	15°	1030.6	0.8 mm	10.0°	1%
13:00	18°	1030.6	0.8 mm	11.0°	1%
16:00	19°	1030.2	0.8 mm	10.1°	1%
19:00	14°	1030.7	0.8 mm	10.1°	1%
22:00	11°	1031.9	0.8 mm	9.2°	1%
06:59 19:07 Daylength: 12:08 Wednesday 22 Sep
01:00	11°	1032.1	0.8 mm	8.6°	1%
04:00	10°	1031.7	0.8 mm	8.1°	1%
07:00	9°	1031.6	0.8 mm	7.6°	0%
10:00	15°	1031.7	0.8 mm	8.9°	0%
13:00	20°	1031.0	0.8 mm	7.1°	0%
16:00	19°	1029.5	0.8 mm	5.9°	0%
19:00	12°	1029.5	0.8 mm	8.1°	0%
22:00	10°	1029.5	0.8 mm	8.6°	0%
07:00 19:05 Daylength: 12:05 Thursday 23 Sep
01:00	10°	1029.2	0.8 mm	9.0°	0%
04:00	9°	1028.5	0.8 mm	8.4°	0%
07:00	9°	1028.1	0.8 mm	8.8°	0%
10:00	16°	1027.7	0.8 mm	11.9°	0%
13:00	21°	1027.0	0.8 mm	13.8°	0%
16:00	19°	1025.6	0.8 mm	13.7°	1%
19:00	15°	1025.3	0.8 mm	12.9°	0%
22:00	15°	1025.2	0.8 mm	13.8°	1%
07:02 19:03 Daylength: 12:01 Friday 24 Sep
01:00	14°	1024.2	0.8 mm	13.9°	1%
04:00	14°	1023.4	0.8 mm	13.9°	0%
07:00	15°	1022.6	0.8 mm	14.3°	1%
10:00	18°	1023.2	0.8 mm	14.1°	0%
13:00	20°	1022.5	0.8 mm	13.3°	0%
16:00	20°	1021.2	0.9 mm	13.7°	1%
19:00	17°	1021.4	0.9 mm	12.4°	1%
22:00	16°	1021.4	0.9 mm	11.7°	1%
07:04 19:01 Daylength: 11:57 Saturday 25 Sep
01:00	13°	1020.7	0.9 mm	11.6°	1%
04:00	11°	1020.1	0.9 mm	10.0°	1%
07:00	10°	1020.1	0.9 mm	8.9°	1%
10:00	14°	1020.5	0.9 mm	9.2°	1%
13:00	16°	1020.2	0.9 mm	9.8°	1%
16:00	17°	1019.8	0.9 mm	10.4°	1%
19:00	14°	1020.8	0.9 mm	9.6°	1%
22:00	13°	1022.1		9.9°	1%
07:05 18:58 Daylength: 11:53 Sunday 26 Sep
01:00	12°	1022.6	1.1 mm	11.1°	1%
04:00	12°	1022.9	1.2 mm	10.6°	1%
07:00	11°	1023.8	1.2 mm	9.9°	1%
10:00	12°	1025.2	1.2 mm	9.1°	1%
13:00	16°	1025.2	1.2 mm	4.4°	1%
16:00	17°	1024.6	1.2 mm	5.0°	0%
19:00	12°	1025.3	1.2 mm	5.7°	0%
22:00	9°	1027.1	1.2 mm	5.5°	0%
07:07 18:56 Daylength: 11:49 Monday 27 Sep
01:00	7°	1027.9	1.2 mm	4.9°	0%
04:00	6°	1027.9	1.2 mm	4.2°	0%
07:00	6°	1028.3	1.2 mm	3.6°	0%
10:00	12°	1029.1	1.2 mm	5.0°	0%
13:00	16°	1028.6	1.2 mm	2.9°	0%
16:00	17°	1027.3	1.2 mm	2.8°	0%
19:00	12°	1027.7	1.2 mm	3.3°	0%
07:08 18:54 Daylength: 11:46 Tuesday 28 Sep
01:00	9° 9.2°	1019.6	0.2 mm	7.2°	1%
07:00	8° 8.4°	1019.2	0.4 mm	7.0°	1%
13:00	15°	1020.1	0.4 mm	8.0°	1%
19:00	12°	1019.5	0.2 mm	7.8°	0%
07:10 18:51 Daylength: 11:41 Wednesday 29 Sep
01:00	9° 8.7°	1020.1	0.1 mm	7.0°	0%
07:00	8° 8.0°	1019.5		6.5°	0%
13:00	15°	1019.6	0.4 mm	8.0°	1%
19:00	12°	1018.2	0.8 mm	8.0°	1%
07:12 18:49 Daylength: 11:37 Thursday 30 Sep
01:00	10° 9.1°	1017.9	0.8 mm	7.7°	1%
07:00	9° 8.4°	1016.7	0.6 mm	7.1°	1%
13:00	15°	1016.6	0.4 mm	8.1°	1%
19:00	12°	1015.5	0.9 mm	8.5°	1%
07:13 18:47 Daylength: 11:34 Friday 01 Oct
01:00	10° 8.6°	1015.8	0.3 mm	7.9°	1%
07:00	9° 7.6°	1015.5	0.5 mm	7.3°	1%
13:00	15°	1015.4	0.4 mm	8.3°	1%
19:00	12°	1014.5	0.5 mm	8.0°	1%
07:15 18:45 Daylength: 11:30 Saturday 02 Oct
01:00	9°	1014.3	1.1 mm	7.1°	1%
07:00	9° 8.5°	1013.5	1.1 mm	6.7°	1%
13:00	14°	1013.7	0.5 mm	7.8°	1%
19:00	11°	1013.3	1.2 mm	7.1°	1%
07:17 18:42 Daylength: 11:25 Sunday 03 Oct
01:00	9°	1014.0	1.2 mm	6.3°	1%
07:00	8°	1013.9	0.8 mm	5.9°	1%
13:00	14°	1014.7	0.2 mm	7.2°	0%
19:00	11°	1014.1	0.5 mm	7.0°	1%

	TS-prob.	Severe Index	CAPE	LI	Hail	Supercell	Tornado	Swiss12	--	--

EWN puts the forecast-models in a real test by monitoring their accuracy also outside their "home-area" which usually is the country of the issuing meteorologic institute. The accuracy are monitored for ca 900 locations north of the Alps and are calculated by comparing the forecast with the observed temperature every 3 hours at 00, 03, 06, 09, 12, 15, 18 and 21 UTC. The used forecast for the next day are generated at ca 18 UTC. Theese results are then used for calculating the EWN forecast.

Models
- EWN: EWN's own forecast
- WRFDA: WRF runned by EWN
- DWD: ICON, DWD, Germany
- MF-Arpege: ARPEGE, Meteo France
- MF-Arome: AROME, Meteo France
- KNMI: Hirlam, KNMI, The Netherlands
- FMI: Hirlam, FMI, Finland
- YR: XML-files (AROME-MetCoOp, Hirlam, ECMWF), MET Norway (yr.no)
- GFS: GFS, NCEP, USA
- CMC: CMC Ensemble, CMC, Canada
- WXSIM: WXSIM-software runned by private weatherstations (data not available for all locations)

Model accuracy

The average total accuracy for each forecast-model.

	EWN	WRFDA	DWD	MF	KNMI	FMI	YR	GFS	CMC	WXSIM
Good forecasts (±2°)	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%
Mean error	°	°	°	°	°	°	°	°	°	°
RMS error	°	°	°	°	°	°	°	°	°	°

Good forecasts (±2°) Mean error RMS error

Compare models

	EWN	WRFDA	DWD	MF	KNMI	FMI	YR	GFS	CMC	WXSIM

	Temperature	HDD (17°)	10m Wind	20m Wind	50m Wind	100m Wind	Cloudcover	Solar SW	Solar LW
This table are based on the EWN WRFDA-model. Solar radiation: SW - shortwave, LW - longwave. HDD - Heatingdegree.

Bishop Sutton Weather Station;

Personal weather station in Bishop Sutton, North East Somerset, United Kingdom.

For more information on site, equipment and historical records go to http://www.bishopsuttonweather.org.uk/

Forecast for Bristol, Bishop Sutton (GB)

Model accuracy

Compare models

Warnings and severe weather

You find our weather info also at:

Equipment we use:

Weather-station Davis VP2	Weather-program Meteobridge

Bishop Sutton Weather Station; Personal weather station in Bishop Sutton, North East Somerset, United Kingdom. For more information on site, equipment and historical records go to http://www.bishopsuttonweather.org.uk/

Forecast for Bristol, Bishop Sutton (GB)

Model accuracy

Compare models

Warnings and severe weather

You find our weather info also at:

Equipment we use:

Bishop Sutton Weather Station;

Personal weather station in Bishop Sutton, North East Somerset, United Kingdom.

For more information on site, equipment and historical records go to http://www.bishopsuttonweather.org.uk/